All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
| Season Rating | |
Valley Cross Kickoff |
Harrison 8-Way |
Lafayette City-County |
Harrison (WL) Invitational |
Wildcat Classic |
Trinity/Valkyrie Invitational |
New Prairie Invitational |
Culver Academies Invitational |
Hoosier Conference |
Harrison (WL) Sectional |
Harrison Regional |
New Prairie Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| Date | |
8/12 |
8/22 |
8/28 |
9/1 |
9/8 |
9/15 |
9/15 |
9/22 |
9/29 |
10/6 |
10/13 |
10/20 |
10/27 |
| Team Rating |
142 |
180 |
417 |
236 |
113 |
252 |
148 |
506 |
179 |
399 |
304 |
285 |
165 |
148 |
| Team Adjusted Rating | |
133 |
150 |
236 |
113 |
205 |
148 |
142 |
162 |
289 |
222 |
220 |
148 |
148 |
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating |
Valley Cross Kickoff |
Harrison 8-Way |
Lafayette City-County |
Harrison (WL) Invitational |
Wildcat Classic |
Trinity/Valkyrie Invitational |
New Prairie Invitational |
Culver Academies Invitational |
Hoosier Conference |
Harrison (WL) Sectional |
Harrison Regional |
New Prairie Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| 14 |
Ellie Tate |
12 |
18:39 |
19:02 |
|
19:38 |
18:46 |
19:09 |
18:59 |
|
19:05 |
20:14 |
19:38 |
18:50 |
18:44 |
18:31 |
| 19 |
Mary Schultz |
12 |
18:48 |
18:54 |
|
19:38 |
18:40 |
|
18:42 |
|
18:55 |
20:14 |
19:29 |
19:14 |
18:34 |
18:43 |
| 23 |
Emma Tate |
12 |
18:50 |
|
|
19:38 |
19:03 |
19:39 |
18:34 |
|
19:08 |
|
19:32 |
18:57 |
19:08 |
18:42 |
| 87 |
Alli Steffey |
9 |
19:32 |
19:37 |
19:54 |
19:44 |
19:15 |
19:57 |
20:04 |
|
19:24 |
20:47 |
|
21:06 |
19:32 |
19:23 |
| 119 |
Caroline Jordan |
11 |
19:48 |
19:06 |
|
19:41 |
19:08 |
19:51 |
19:32 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
21:35 |
| 187 |
Haley Mansfield |
10 |
20:17 |
20:06 |
19:59 |
20:12 |
19:42 |
20:40 |
19:56 |
|
|
|
|
21:06 |
20:24 |
20:16 |
| 229 |
Amelia Simpson |
10 |
20:28 |
|
20:40 |
20:58 |
20:33 |
21:18 |
|
20:54 |
20:34 |
20:32 |
20:52 |
|
20:13 |
20:23 |
| 267 |
Ella Marks |
10 |
20:39 |
20:35 |
19:44 |
20:21 |
20:41 |
20:05 |
20:47 |
|
20:13 |
20:28 |
21:26 |
22:45 |
|
|
| 291 |
Sarah Greenwell |
12 |
20:43 |
21:11 |
|
20:51 |
20:24 |
21:31 |
|
20:22 |
20:51 |
21:14 |
20:18 |
20:48 |
20:28 |
|
| 342 |
Bella Garcia |
11 |
20:53 |
20:53 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 424 |
Annabel Prokopy |
9 |
21:13 |
22:21 |
21:50 |
21:17 |
20:48 |
21:25 |
|
20:08 |
21:06 |
21:29 |
|
|
|
|
| 479 |
Ellie Haq |
11 |
21:21 |
20:38 |
|
20:44 |
22:02 |
22:24 |
|
21:34 |
21:00 |
|
21:12 |
|
|
|
| 512 |
Maya Dukes |
9 |
21:26 |
22:35 |
|
21:51 |
21:21 |
21:40 |
|
21:05 |
21:13 |
|
|
|
|
|
| 700 |
Raina Wu |
9 |
21:54 |
|
21:56 |
21:19 |
21:55 |
|
|
22:14 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 1,377 |
Abby Serra |
10 |
23:23 |
22:32 |
|
23:39 |
24:08 |
22:30 |
|
23:54 |
23:19 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ella Justice-Coulter |
9 |
24:32 |
24:31 |
25:30 |
25:01 |
25:08 |
24:22 |
|
24:33 |
23:27 |
|
|
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
| State Finals |
100% |
4.6 |
209 |
1.3 |
11.0 |
20.7 |
21.5 |
18.5 |
11.9 |
5.8 |
4.5 |
1.8 |
1.6 |
1.0 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Semi-State |
100% |
1.1 |
69 |
93.7 |
5.1 |
1.3 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
1.0 |
20 |
100.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
1.0 |
16 |
100.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Ellie Tate |
100% |
16.5 |
0.1 |
|
0.3 |
1.2 |
2.0 |
2.7 |
3.8 |
3.4 |
4.5 |
3.7 |
4.1 |
4.4 |
5.5 |
4.0 |
4.0 |
4.4 |
4.7 |
4.7 |
3.3 |
3.2 |
2.9 |
3.2 |
2.7 |
2.1 |
2.5 |
|
100.0% |
| Mary Schultz |
100% |
23.8 |
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
1.2 |
1.6 |
1.8 |
2.3 |
2.2 |
2.5 |
3.3 |
2.4 |
3.4 |
2.7 |
3.4 |
3.6 |
3.9 |
4.1 |
2.9 |
2.6 |
3.0 |
3.2 |
2.5 |
|
100.0% |
| Emma Tate |
100% |
26.3 |
|
|
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.9 |
1.3 |
1.5 |
1.6 |
2.5 |
2.7 |
2.6 |
2.5 |
2.7 |
2.4 |
2.8 |
2.6 |
2.9 |
3.2 |
3.7 |
3.3 |
3.3 |
2.9 |
|
99.9% |
| Alli Steffey |
100% |
85.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
79.5% |
| Haley Mansfield |
100% |
140.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
3.9% |
| Amelia Simpson |
100% |
151.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.7% |
| Ella Marks |
100% |
163.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1% |
| Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Ellie Tate |
100% |
3.0 |
18.2 |
17.2 |
14.2 |
11.5 |
10.3 |
7.5 |
5.7 |
4.2 |
4.0 |
2.8 |
1.4 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
0.8 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Mary Schultz |
100% |
5.6 |
5.6 |
7.9 |
10.5 |
11.0 |
9.1 |
9.4 |
8.9 |
8.7 |
7.3 |
5.6 |
4.2 |
3.8 |
2.8 |
2.3 |
1.3 |
0.7 |
0.6 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Emma Tate |
100% |
6.3 |
2.7 |
7.0 |
8.7 |
10.1 |
9.3 |
10.0 |
8.9 |
8.4 |
7.9 |
6.3 |
6.4 |
4.6 |
2.9 |
2.2 |
1.8 |
1.5 |
0.8 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
|
|
100.0% |
| Alli Steffey |
100% |
19.7 |
|
|
|
|
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
1.5 |
1.7 |
2.3 |
3.0 |
5.3 |
5.5 |
6.0 |
7.7 |
8.9 |
8.2 |
7.6 |
7.6 |
7.7 |
5.4 |
5.2 |
|
100.0% |
| Haley Mansfield |
100% |
38.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.8 |
1.8 |
|
100.0% |
| Amelia Simpson |
100% |
45.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
|
100.0% |
| Ella Marks |
100% |
54.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
100.0% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Ellie Tate |
100% |
1.0 |
55.1 |
25.6 |
15.4 |
4.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Mary Schultz |
100% |
2.0 |
17.6 |
33.8 |
30.5 |
18.2 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Emma Tate |
100% |
2.3 |
13.5 |
26.2 |
36.4 |
23.8 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Alli Steffey |
100% |
4.5 |
|
|
0.2 |
6.1 |
84.6 |
7.2 |
1.6 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Haley Mansfield |
100% |
7.9 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
14.3 |
18.4 |
19.5 |
17.9 |
12.2 |
9.5 |
4.4 |
2.2 |
1.0 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Amelia Simpson |
100% |
9.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
2.6 |
7.5 |
11.7 |
16.6 |
16.5 |
16.2 |
13.2 |
8.0 |
4.2 |
1.8 |
1.2 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Ella Marks |
100% |
11.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.7 |
2.1 |
2.8 |
6.6 |
11.2 |
15.1 |
16.6 |
17.2 |
10.6 |
8.0 |
4.3 |
1.9 |
1.3 |
1.0 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Ellie Tate |
1.0 |
62.1 |
26.3 |
11.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Mary Schultz |
1.7 |
23.1 |
40.0 |
36.9 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Emma Tate |
2.0 |
14.8 |
33.7 |
51.2 |
0.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Alli Steffey |
3.5 |
|
|
0.4 |
98.5 |
1.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Haley Mansfield |
5.1 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
46.0 |
28.0 |
16.0 |
6.3 |
3.0 |
0.5 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Amelia Simpson |
6.4 |
|
|
|
|
13.9 |
26.4 |
23.5 |
18.3 |
11.1 |
5.2 |
1.3 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Ella Marks |
7.9 |
|
|
|
|
2.5 |
8.2 |
17.8 |
24.4 |
24.9 |
15.1 |
4.4 |
1.9 |
0.5 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
